Fuel prices dominate economic indicators for 2014-15

The Statistical Institute of Belize (SIB) released a batch of economic indicators for the latter part of 2014 and the first two months of 2015. We start with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter of 2014, which grew by 1.6% compared with the same period in 2013. Overall the annual GDP is projected for an increase of 3.6% though final figures will not be released until midway through 2015.Overall, the strongest performances were in agriculture, wholesale and retail trade, and hotels and restaurants due to increased tourist figures, while the fishing, manufacturing and mining, electricity and water and construction sectors suffered decline. But the main story of the day is the effect of fuel prices on Belize – and it is a double-edged sword. A decrease of up to a third in gasoline and butane prices compared with the same time in 2015 contributed to an overall reduction in the consumer price index (CPI), helped along by lower food prices, particularly for vegetables and fresh produce as well as eggs. Statistician Angelita Campbell explains how the fuel price drop reduced prices for transport

 

ANGELITA CAMPBELL- Statistician, Statistical Institute of Belizevlcsnap-2015-03-26-13h42m29s101

“The Transport category decreasing by 7.4% and that can be explained by an increase in fuel index of 21.4% If you look closer at the fuel prices, last year, premium gasoline was at an average of $10.93 however, this year we had an average of $7.42. regular gasoline followed the same trend as well as Deisel following the same trend. “

 

But Belize is paid the same price on the world market for petroleum that it exports as well as imports, and the result is a fall of $7.6 million in crude p
etroleum receipts in comparison to 2014 although we exported the same amount of oil this year that we did last year. With more here is statistician Tiffany Vasquez.

 

TIFFANY VASQUEZ – Statistician, Statistical Institute of Belizevlcsnap-2015-03-26-13h40m40s40
“The number of barrels didn’t differ significantly.  I think in fact, in 2015, it was a slight increase, so it is due totally by  the decrease in fuel prices. It is the same thing. Fuel prices had a huge impact on our revenues.”

 

Belizevlcsnap-2015-03-26-13h04m45s2 imported $172.9 million – about twice the figure from the same period in 2010 – mostly machinery and transport equipment, chemical products, manufactured goods and food and live animals. The Commercial Free Zones and Export Processing Zones recorded higher levels of imports. On the export side, domestic earnings totaled just $50 million, about the same as in 2010, with modest increases for the big three major exports of sugar, banana and citrus offsetting the decline in marine and petroleum products.
 

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