According to the National Hurricane Centre there is a 60% chance that a tropical wave forecast to hit landfall in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula in the next couple of days, could develop into a tropical depression. We talked to the Chief Met Officer Dennis Gonguez who gave us an update on the weather.
Dennis Gonguez – Chief Meteorology Officer:
The system is moving West-Northwest at about ten to fifteen miles per hour. Although it’s entering into favourable conditions for development, it’s pretty close to the Yucatan Peninsula and if any development does occur it will be reaching tropical depression status just before landfall [Thursday]. The main impact from this system will be the rains. We’re expecting somewhere between two to four inches of rain. The rainfall is due in through the course of [Thursday] over the Northern sections of the country.
Although there is no great danger expected, Mr Gonguez informed us that we still need to keep an eye on this storm.
Here is the latest Tropical Weather Outlook issued 6am Thursday.
The weather disturbance in the Northwest Caribbean Sea has become less organization overnight with most of the shower activity now moving over Yucatan and Belize. This system has a medium chance of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
At 6:00 am the center of newly formed tropical storm Erin was located near 14.5N latitude 25.6W longitude or about 65mls west southwest of Brava, Cape Verde Islands. The storm was moving WNW at 16mph with maximum sustained winds of 40mph.
Elsewhere in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.